UPDATE: The Daily NK offers these numbers:
This September, the number of North Korean defectors living in South Korea is likely to pass 20,000. Hanawon, the resettlement education center for defectors located just outside Seoul, recently revealed that a total of 19,300 defectors were in South Korea as of 1 July, and forecast that the tally would surpass the 20,000 mark this coming September.
It is a number which has been rising steadily ever since eight people first crossed the border in 1993, with records for 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 showing 2018, 2544, 2809, and 2927 defectors reaching South Korean territory respectively.
ORIGINAL POST: According to the Donga Ilbo:
The [Unification] ministry said the number of North Koreans who arrived in the South in this year’s first half was 1,237, or 42.3 percent of last year’s figure of 2,927. The number for the second half is expected to decline further because the number of defectors awaiting entry into South Korea has dropped.
More than six months is normally needed for defectors to enter the South after fleeing the North. So the number of North Koreans to enter the South this year will reach an estimated 2,000, or two thirds last year’s figure.
This is a big change given that the number of defectors to South Korea had grown 10-30 percent every year. Had this pace been maintained this year, the number would have exceeded 3,000.
The number of defectors reaching South Korea was marginal through 1993, but increased to 52 in 1994. It exceeded 100 in 1999, 1,000 in 2002, and 2,000 in 2006.
The drop is largely due to the North’s stepped-up crackdown on defectors. The Stalinist country set up layered surveillance networks in border areas early this year shortly after its major security agencies — the People’s Security Ministry and the State Security Ministry — issued their first joint statement declaring war on defectors in February.
The People’s Security Ministry is in charge of maintaining public order and the State Security Ministry handles intelligence gathering. Unlike in the past, the two organizations are working closely together with military forces dispatched to border areas to prevent defections.
The North is known to have significantly strengthened its crackdown after its disastrous currency revaluation in December last year.
The punishment for defectors deported from China has also gotten tougher. In the past, North Koreans who fled their country were subject to labor if they left to earn a living but now face more than three years in prison without exception. In worst cases, public execution is their fate.
The heightened crackdown on defectors has raised the price of crossing a river to escape. The cost used to be tens of thousands of North Korean won (tens of U.S. dollars) in the past, but has soared to millions of won (hundreds of dollars). Even this amount, however, does not guarantee safe passage out of the North.
North Koreans who escaped to South Korea used to send money to the North to help their families flee, but it has gotten more difficult not only to send money, but also to contact their families in the North.
All of this is related to strained inter-Korean relations. The powerless defectors are victims of the bilateral confrontation that began with the inauguration of the Lee Myung-bak administration in 2008.
Read the full stories here:
No. of Defectors Drops Amid Heightened Crackdown
Donga Ilbo
8/2/2010
Rekindling Hope for North Korean Youth
Daily NK
Mok Yong Jae
8/6/2010
